
On Thursday 29 October 2026, Kalshi announced a $1 billion round at a $40 billion valuation, one day after Utah filed criminal charges against the company. The cheque arrived with the ink on the charge sheet still wet.
Most companies need a week to digest criminal charges. Kalshi needed about a day. On Thursday 29 October 2026, the prediction market announced a $1 billion Series G at a $40 billion post money valuation, co-led by Wellington and Sequoia. The day before, Utah had filed criminal charges against Kalshi and two senior executives, accusing the company of illegally promoting online gambling.
Now the number. In October 2025, Kalshi was valued at $5 billion. Today it is $40 billion. That is eight times in twelve months, and the Spirit has never believed in coincidences when an eight turns up on a term sheet. The jump from the $22 billion mark set in May is about 82%, in just over five months. KACHINGUUU.
The money has a plan attached. Kalshi says event contracts are only a starting point, and that the fresh capital will go into a broader exchange: leveraged contracts, an institutional business, and a more direct fight with the likes of CME and ICE. It launched perpetual futures in late May, its first product outside prediction markets. By its own account, annualized trading volume now tops $1 trillion, it has passed 30 million accounts, and non sports markets bring in more than $1 billion a year in revenue. Those are the company's figures, not an audit.
Here is the tension that makes this a proper table. Kalshi argues that federal law, not state gambling rules, governs its contracts, and the CFTC has asked a federal judge to halt Utah's civil case against the company. Critics say the products look like gambling. Utah has now taken that argument from the civil side of the building to the criminal one. Investors, apparentlu, read the same headlines and put their chips down anyway. GLUWUWULUGU.
Would youluwu sit at a table where the sheriff and the banker both walked in the same week? Somewhere, a courtroom and a cap table are about to find out which of them sets the odds.
The charges are filed, the cheque is cashed, and the next hand is already being dealt. The Spirit never closes.
Kalshi at $40 billion: smart bet or bubble?
No right answer. Just your gut, and the Spirit watching.